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Environmental and climate projections to 2050 plus environment-related news worldwide.

Select year

2026(today)
203020402050

Scenario

Continuation of today's climate policy: emissions stay roughly at their current level.

AI-generated context (Claude) based on the values calculated above — not a separate data source.

Current status

The latest available figures on each topic — exactly when they were measured is shown under “Source” on each card.

Climate

Greenhouse gas emissions

CO₂e = all greenhouse gases, converted to their warming effect.

20262050

Projection 2026–2050 in the selected scenario, in CO₂ equivalent (all greenhouse gases). The CO₂ budget below refers to pure CO₂ only - no dashed comparison line here, as the two values are not directly comparable.

Remaining 1.5°C CO₂ budget in tonnes:

falling by roughly 1,337 tonnes per second

Look back: we have not yet added a longer time series for this measure. What is missing here?

Temperature rise

Measured (HadCRUT5, deviation from the pre-industrial level): 2023: 1.47 °C, 2024: 1.53 °C, 2025: 1.41 °C, 2026 (so far): 1.40 °C. The warmest year of our series is 2024 (1.53 °C). Single years swing strongly around the long-term trend.

1850 · -0.06 °C2050 · 1.97 °C

1850–2026 measured (solid), then projection in the selected scenario (IIASA SSP model, starting from the 2026 measurement) (dashed)

Dotted line and blue area: pre-industrial level (1861–1890 average).

Renewable energy
1900 · 41.2%2050 · 69.1%

1900–2025 measured (solid), then projection in the selected scenario (IEA World Energy Outlook 2025) (dashed)

Around 1900 the share was about 40% because electricity generation was still small and mostly hydropower. It fell to below 18% by the 2000s as fossil power plants expanded, and has been rising again with wind and solar since.

Sea temperature
1950 · 0.10 °C2050 · 1.61 °C

1950–2026 measured (solid), then our own extrapolation (dashed)

Dotted line: pre-industrial level (1861–1890 average).

Nature & Resources

Species extinction
1993 · 0.8062050 · 0.688

1993–2025 measured (solid), then our own extrapolation (dashed)

Water demand

Look back: we have not yet added a longer time series for this measure. What is missing here?

Forest area
1990 · 4,344 Mha2050 · 4,037 Mha

1990–2025 measured (solid), then our own extrapolation (dashed)

Plastic production

For comparison: in 1990 around 130 million tonnes of plastic were used worldwide, in 2019 around 460 million tonnes. Of that, around 353 million tonnes became waste in 2019, around 79 million tonnes of it mismanaged or littered. All figures are OECD model estimates, not measurements.

1990 · 130 Mt2050 · 829 Mt
  • Use 2019: 460 Mt
  • Waste 2019: 353 Mt
  • of which mismanaged 2019: 79 Mt

1990–2019 OECD estimate (solid), then OECD scenario (model projection), in the selected scenario (dashed)

People & Society

World population
1900 · 1.627 bn2050 · 9.664 bn

1900–2023 measured (solid), then our own extrapolation (dashed)

Water stress

As of 2024:

India
1.45bn
Pakistan
251m
Mexico
131m
Egypt
117m
Iran
92m
20262050

Projection 2026–2050 in the selected scenario

Look back: we have not yet added a longer time series for this measure. What is missing here?

Displacement by natural disasters

Since 2008 (38.2 million) the annual figures have ranged between 15.0 million (2011) and 45.8 million (2024).

2008 · 38.2 m2050 · 29.9 m

2008–2025 measured (solid), then last actual value continued (no projection model) (dashed)

Environment-related news

Loading update time … · Sources: GDELT, Mongabay, FAO, OWID, ReliefWeb

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